https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/14/04/2024/1539

Published Date: 14 April 2024 at 15:39

Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher

Comments on Contemporary Risks by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher

Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher: https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks-all

14 April 2024 at 15:39. I wish to King of Jordan longevity as a King of Jordan, but his decision to help Israel and the USA to intercept the Iranian drones in the Jordan territory likely will impact his ability to serve for long as a King of Jordan at the internal Level and at the Muslim World Level. If we look today at the massive bullying against the King of Jordan in social networking (e.g. Twitter-X), then clearly, the ‘Arab Street’ did not like that the king of Jordan helped Israel and the USA during the Iranian attack against Israel.  Nevertheless, if we put aside the bullying of the  ‘Arab Street’ against the King of Jordan by analysing how it will impact the King of Jordan including its implication to the Middle East, then it was better that President Biden would not ask for the help of Jordan to deal with the Iranian attack because it will likely backfire Israel and USA in a very risky way. First, we need a reminder of how it goes when the ‘Arab Street’ stops liking a King. The good scenario is that the disgraceful king is peacefully replaced by another king, while the bad scenario is abolishing the kingdom or even worse by Political Assassination (too many to count how many kings were assassinated) or by a coup d'état. Hence, if one of these scenarios happens, then it will worsen the isolation of Israel in the Middle East without the 'Military Safeguard’ that Israel has today from its East Border with Jordan, so in the short-run, it was very tempting for Biden to ask the help of Jordan, but in the mid-run, it may lead to a very risky vacuum. My prediction is that nothing will be the same for King Jordan after his helping Israel to intercept the Iranian drones. Hence, Biden was wrong in asking for the help of King Jordan, while King of Jordan was wrong in helping Israel instead of helping Iran from the Muslim World perspective. 

Additional Relevant Comments:

• Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher, 12 March 2024, Do We Have an Islamic Resistance of Jordan? https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/12/03/2024/0555 

• Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher, 28 December 2022, The Power of the ‘Arab Street’ related to Israeli Occupation of Palestine: The Case of Jordan https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/28/12/2022/1703  

• Blog on FDI and International Trade by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher, 15 December 2022, Jordan, https://www.rozen-bakher.com/blog/2022/12/15/jordan   

• Twitter-X Lists of Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher, Jordan List https://www.rozen-bakher.com/twitter-lists/jordan-list

  Focusing on Jordan to Identify Risks that Evolve From the Resistance of the ‘Arab Street’ in Jordan toward the Peace Agreement with Israel amid the Israeli Occupation of Palestine that Escalated amid the Hamas-Israel War, which raises Risk of Internal Instability in Jordan, and even the Risk of Military Participate and Assistance by Jordanians in the Military Campaign against Israel and its Allies.