Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher

Comments on Contemporary Risks by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher

From other Research Activities of Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher:

Monitoring Risks by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher: Analysing Risks in-Depth of Political Risks, Economic Risks, and Strategic Risks

Global Risks by Dr. Rozen-Bakher: Stimulating Thinking ‘Out of the Box’ on Ongoing Global Problems that have no Clear Solutions

Dr. Rozen-Bakher’s Blog on Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and International Trade to Identify Risks versus Opportunities

Dr. Rozen-Bakher’s Twitter Lists and Twitter Hashtags to Identify Risks for FDI and International Trade

16 June 2023 at 17:02. After a long winter and preparation, Ukraine has started its counteroffensive against Russia, but clearly, Ukraine's counteroffensive is failed, even without the need to wait a long time to know it or to pay additional ‘high cost’. If I compared my Global Survival Rank between Russia and Ukraine (see below), then we even understand rationally why Ukraine has no ability to win a war against Russia, especially a long war, even with Military Aid and Civil Aid from the USA Coalition. Hence, Ukraine should find a way out of this war to stop the ‘high cost’ via an immediate ceasefire to allow negotiation. It’s better for Ukraine to compromise than to continue with this useless war that reminds World War I, namely each side made minor progress on the battlefields over many years. Still, we should take into account that at the start of the war, Russia succeeded to annex significant territory that Ukraine unlikely will succeed to take back via counteroffensive, but perhaps part of it via diplomatic negotiation.

We need to be brave to get into a war, but even more brave to make peace with an enemy.