Why Russia and China are wooed after Iran?: Military Capabilities of Iran
https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/09/12/2022/1826
Published Date: 09 December 2022 at 18:26
Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Comments on Contemporary Risks by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
From other Research Activities of Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher:
09 December 2022 at 18:26. If I look at the alliances of the Russia-China Coalition, such as BRICS+ and SCO and even the Russian military alliance, the CSTO, then one of the important reasons that both Russia and China give priority to adding Iran to BRICS+ and SCO is because of the military capabilities of Iran. The USA looks mainly at the relations between Iran and Russia, but based on my analysis, China and Iran also created strategic relations. Perhaps, it will be more accurate to say that both Russia and China understood that Iran is an important strategic ally, especially as a military ally, particularly if erupted WWIII, so both countries, Russia and China, put efforts into creating strategic relations with Iran. For Russia and China, Iran is a perfect loyal ally because Iran has a long rivalry with the USA, so Russia and China trusted Iran. If we look at the last vote of the UN Human Rights Council regarding Iran, then China voted Against and not Abstained like in the votes regarding Russia, which signals how Iran is important to China. If we look at this vote, then Iran has loyal allies, such as Pakistan, Armenia and Venezuela, which makes Iran an important strategic player in the Russia-China Coalition. Besides, if we look at the Russian military alliance, the CSTO, then the last drills had already included Iran, Syria, and more countries as what we call Observer State. We should keep in mind that the process of joining members to the alliances of the Russia-China coalition is less strict and less bureaucratic compared to the ratification of NATO and the EU. Besides, there is no transparency regarding each act or decision in the Russia-China coalition because of the sanctions, so my assumption is that if a country joins informally to CSTO, then doubt that we know about it. Importantly, I can not see a move from the USA and West side that could change the course regarding the role of Iran as a strategic ally of Russia and China. Paradoxically, the USA and the EU pushed Iran into the hands of Russia and China by imposing sanctions against Iran. This situation may apply also to other countries that the sanctions against them by the West may push them into the hands of Russia and China.
