The ‘Divorce Contract' Between Russia and the West
https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/31/03/2022/0749
Published Date: 31 March 2022 at 07:49
Risks Timeline by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
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Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
A Researcher in International Relations/International Business with a speciality in Risks for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), International Trade, and Mergers and Acquisitions (M&As) in relation to Security Risks, Political Risks, Economic Risks, and Strategic Risks
31 March 2022 at 07:49. When we slept, Russia is working day and night on the counter-sanctions against the West. It seems that each element in the West's sanctions against Russia will be responded via counter-sanctions with the help of the Russian allies. Hence, Russia is planning to create an alternative to SWIFT via SPFS, yet with the possibility to integrate it with China's system-Cips, so we are going to get SWIFT vs. SPFS&Cips. India and Iran are already considering starting working via SPFS. Besides, Russia is offering India a steep discount of 35$ per barrel on its oil, in return that India will pay for it in rouble via SPFS. The map of Russian counter-sanctions that is planned these days is de-facto the 'divorce contract' that Russia is making now for the West. The big losers are the EU countries that are significantly dependent on Russian energy, regardless of the other trade activity with Russia. The irony is that the sanctions against Russia will backfire on the EU for nothing because Ukraine is going to compromise with all Russian demands before the war. EU should have anticipated it before they entered this dangerous War-Sanctions that is going to reduce significantly the Standard of Living in the EU including shrinking the economies.
Iran considers joining Russian financial messaging system to bypass Swift (thenationalnews.com)
Russia Offers Oil to India at Big Discount to Pre-War Price - Bloomberg
Russia offers oil to India at steep discount of $35 barrel to pre-war price (moneycontrol.com)
USA Coalition vs. Russian Coalition: FDI and International Trade Analysis — Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Sanctions against Russia: USA Coalition vs. Russian Coalition — Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
