Serbia: ‘Sitting on the Fence’ or Russia Ally in the Middle of the ‘NATO Sea’?

https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/22/09/2022/1017

Published Date: 22 September 2022 at 10:17




22 September 2022 at 10:17. Serbia is in the middle of ´NATO SEA´ surrounded by many NATO members and far from its allies of CSTO-the Russian military alliance, yet with a border with Hungary, an ally of Russia and China, so Serbia is in a complicated situation, yet not so different from Hungary that perfect plays how to sit ´On the Fence´, still, Serbia did not impose any sanctions against Russia, thereby, Serbia is de-facto part of Russia-China coalition, despite that Serbia is also a potential partner of the EU. From the military perspective, the location of Serbia is a strategic asset to the East coalition, so my prediction is that, sooner or later, Serbia may join to one of the East trade alliances like SCO. Besides, if will start a war between NATO and Russia, then I have a big doubt if two members of NATO, Hungary and Turkey, will join the war against Russia. Very likely, that they will keep on neutrality.


Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher

Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher

Researcher in Risks for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and International Trade

Political Risks, Economic Risks, Strategic Risks

https://www.rozen-bakher.com/
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