Havana Syndrome - BioTech Weapon
https://www.rozen-bakher.com/monitoring-risks/04/02/2022
Published Date: 04 February 2022
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Monitoring Risks by Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
Analysing in-Depth Security & Political Risks and Economic & Strategic Risks
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Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher
A Researcher in International Relations and International Business with a Focus on Security and Political Risks & Economic and Strategic Risks Related to Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), International Trade and Mergers and Acquisitions (M&As)
Havana Syndrome - BioTech Weapon, 4 February 2022
Havana Syndrome could be caused by pulsed energy devices – US expert report | US news | The Guardian
Why monitor the risk of Havana Syndrome if the attacks occur until now against around 200 USA administration officers and their families, especially from the CIA?
Havana Syndrome attacks were carried out by BioTechWeapon that could be in the stage of the prototype, yet with the potential to evolve to a mass product BioTech weapon that could be used against armies on battlefields or against a civilian population during wars.
Biological Weapons are prohibited according to Biological Weapons Convention, so using a Biological weapon via advanced technology should be prohibited under the Biological Weapons Convention because of the biological damages to the human body.
At the legal level, using BioTech Weapon should be categorized under Crimes against Humanity because it’s a de-facto Biological weapon.
Is the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ developed from scratch via R&D or it’s an integrated product?
The first option is that ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ has developed from scratch via R&D, yet under a very slow developing process of R&D because of the very lower frequency of attacks and scope of attacks since the start of Havana Syndrome in 2016. In this option, likely that the developer is an army of a country or a governmental defence producer, still, the slow development may signal that it has been developed by a terrorist global group with limited sources, especially because of the target group (only USA administration), the scope of attacks (around 200 attacks in app. 5 years) and the locations of attacks (limited locations).
The second option is that ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ is an integrated global product that developed based on existing products manufactured by firms from around the world, yet these firms may know or may not, that their products are used for BioTech Weapon. In this option, all the scenarios are on the table, so the developer could be a formal country or a global terrorist group or a small terrorist group or even a wolf terrorist. Again, the very low frequency of attacks in app. 5 years signals that limited sources provided for this R&D, either by a formal country or due to real limited sources of the developer (e.g. terrorist group). In the case of an integrated global product, the important questions that arise, how many Multinational Enterprises (MNEs) are involved in this project, either with their knowledge or not, that it is used for ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’?, and if these MNEs know about other MNEs that involve in this project?
What is the technology platform of the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’?
Until now, it’s unclear what is technology platform of the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’, yet a few options arise, either combined or not combined, such as pulsed electromagnetic energy and ultrasound plausible, Microwaves, Ultrasound, Sound, and Biochemical-Tech.
Is the technology platform of the ‘Havana Syndrome is based on a ‘Cyber-BioTech Weapon’ or a ‘Non-Cyber BioTech Weapon’?
In the case of a ‘Cyber-BioTech Weapon’, the specific location of those that are under attack may track via cyber such as, laptops, computers, and smartphones. However, in the case of ‘Non-Cyber BioTech Weapon’, the specific attack location is chosen based on a certain building that served the USA administration or based on a certain location that the USA officers are supposed to be, such as hotels or a meeting place.
Is the technology platform of the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ needed close distance from those under attack or is it could carry out from a far distance by advanced technology?
The common assumption that arises in reporting about Havana Syndrome in the news that is needed close distance to carry out the attacks of Havana Syndrome. However, the option of the ability to carry out the attacks of Havana Syndrome from far should not be eliminated because of the advanced satellite and space technologies, such as Space Tracking Radars or TT&C stations. Thereby, if the attacks of Havana Syndrome could carry out from a far distance, then the chosen locations may try to manipulate the revealing of the source of the attacker. Nevertheless, if the attacks of Havana Syndrome are needed to carry out from a short distance, then the chosen locations of the attacks may give a clue about the source of the attacker.
What are the motives of Havana Syndrome attacks that target only the USA administration and their families, and in particular, the CIA?
Chosen the USA administration and their families, and the CIA, in particular, as the main target group for Havana Syndrome attacks may signal the following motives:
Historical revenge in the USA, and in particular, in the CIA due to a specific important event that occurred before the start of Havana Syndrome attacks in 2016.
Counter-activity for the USA and CIA by a country or a terrorist group that the CIA targets intensively at least a few years before the Havana Syndrome attacks in 2016.
Creating fear and chaos in the working of USA diplomats and CIA, regardless of any past event or intense activity by the CIA against the attacker. This motive is based on sabotaging the diplomatic working of USA officers by creating fear that visiting foreign countries may end in Havana Syndrome attacks. If this motive applies, then likely that a significant rival of USA may involve in the attacks in trying to sabotage the foreign affairs of USA, such as less visiting of USA’ high-rank officers in foreign countries.
Are the locations of attacks of Havana Syndrome could reveal the source of the attacker?
Havana Syndrome attacks occur in the following limited locations: Cuba, China, Washington DC-USA, Vietnam, India, Vienna-Austria, Berlin-Germany, Serbia, London-UK, Australia, Taiwan, and Colombia.
If the technology platform of ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ is non-cyber and it is needed a short distance from those who targeted for attack, then the attackers are needed assistance from local collaborators to enter the equipment to the target country (e.g. airports) and to carry out the attack in the specific location in terms of getting intelligence information about the specific location of USA officers when they visit a foreign country or when the best timing for attack if they are at a permanent facility (e.g. embassy).
Hence, Cuba, China, Vietnam, India, and Taiwan may signal a communist source, while Vienna-Austria, Berlin-Germany, and Serbia may signal USSR source and even far-right source in the case of a sophisticated small terror group. Still, the locations of Washington DC-USA, London-UK, Australia, and Colombia may signal the ability of the attacker to carry out attacks in the ‘home bases’ of the USA.
Who is beyond the ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’?
ALL the following criteria must apply for the attacker:
Enemy of USA, especially of CIA.
A Capability of advanced technology including advanced R&D to develop from scratch BioTech Weapon or a collaboration with leading MNEs to create an integrated product as a BioTech Weapon.
Access to local collaborators in the locations of attacks in terms of intelligence and assistance to carry out the attacks.
Is the developer of ‘Havana Syndrome BioTech Weapon’ will expend the attacks beyond USA administration and CIA in case of war or significant conflict?
That’s the risk.
