NATO Paradox - Russia Out while Germany In: Historical Perspective

https://www.rozen-bakher.com/timeline-risks/01/05/2022/0701

Published Date: 01 May 2022 at 07:01




Yalta: World War Two summit that reshaped the world https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-51282716

01 May 2022 at 07:01. To understand risks, we must look at the Past, Present, and Future. If we look at WWII, then NATO should include Russia and not Germany because Russia fought against the Reich III from East-North, while the West allies from West-South until together they overcame the Nazis. However, Paradoxically, NATO includes Germany and not Russia because, after WWII, the USA opposed the option of including Russia in NATO due to communism, but more importantly, because of the desire of the USA to become a hegemonic superpower, thereby, the USA considers Russia as a rival, which applies until today. Besides, NATO was established in 1949, while West Germany joined NATO in 1955 when West Germany was still separated from East Germany. Keep in mind, that after the end of WWII, high-rank Nazi officers escaped to countries outside Europe like Argentina to avoid punishment, while mid-rank Nazis escape to East Germany. Hence, the decision of NATO to allow West Germany to join NATO was based on the reasoning that West Germany was never the stronghold of the Nazis alongside that West Germany will preserve pacifism as expected from Germany since WWII. However, in 1990, West Germany was unified with East Germany, so ironically, since 1990, NATO includes East Germany which was the stronghold of the Nazis. Importantly, at the beginning of the German reunification and based on Berlin-Bonn Act, West Germany from the capital Bonn was the prominent actor in the German internal politics and as a result, it defined the Foreign policy of Germany, but as the time passed, East Germany from the capital Berlin has started to be the prominent actor in the German internal politics, still, the former Chancellor Angela Merkel kept on German pacifism. However, the German new chancellor, Olaf Scholz, is a different story. His acts signal that he would like to revive Germany as the Fourth Reich, namely positioning Germany as a military superpower to secure global political power, while abandoning the pacifism policy of Germany. What is the risk? History repeats itself. A Nation with a history of creating an Empire via occupied territories may do it again in the future. However, if it will happen again with Germany, then who will protect against Germany if Germany is part of NATO? The paradox story of NATO, Russia and Germany proves that in the geopolitics game of the USA everything is possible even to create a military alliance like NATO that includes the enemy Germany, despite that the military alliance was established to protect against Germany, while Russia that sacrificed millions to release Europe from the Nazis became the enemy of NATO. Worse, now, the USA is going to help Germany to revive the Fourth Reich. Why? Because it’s good for the American defence industry to boost the sale of weapons in €100 billion to Germany.

To Understand the Risk of Forth Reich, please see also below my Comment from 17 September 2022 at 15:43.


17 September 2022 at 15:43. Any country has the right to have the best army, yet Germany is not a regular country if we look at it from a historical perspective. The far-right of Germany, the Nazis, were responsible for the trigger of WWII that led to the death of around 80 million people worldwide, so Germany is not a regular country. However, Scholz may argue that was passed 75 years since WWII, so there is no reason to take it into account. To understand why Scholz is wrong, I will illustrate a scenario that could happen, especially in the current wave of the far-right in Europe, and in Germany, in particular, because Nazism in Germany is still exists, below the surface - secretly, and even publicly. Let's assume that the current German government is a responsible one without any objective to become the Fourth Reich. Thus, Germany under Scholz will make the German army the best army in Europe by buying the best and most sophisticated weapons from the USA and other Western countries. Nonetheless, after Germany will become the best army in Europe, time will pass by, and suddenly, a new version of far-right-nazis will rise to power in Germany, yet obviously, nothing in the party name will mention Nazisem, still, their objectives may reflect the Forth Reich. As we know, it took many years for Hitler to become a Dictator and start his expansion in Europe to make Germany an Empire by invasion other countries. Hitler could have done it because he had the best army in Europe. If this scenario will happen, then who will save Europe? Is it will be NATO that was formed against Germany? But, paradoxically, NATO includes Germany, while Russia which sacrificed around 24 million people to take down Hitler is out of NATO. Looking at the current wave of the far-right in Europe, such as in France, Italy, and even Sweden signals that this scenario is possible. Thus, Germany can be the best economic empire in Europe but not yet the best military empire in Europe.

For the Current Nazism in Germany, please see Twitter-X Lists of Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher, Germany List https://www.rozen-bakher.com/twitter-lists/germany-list


Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher

Dr. Ziva Rozen-Bakher

Researcher in Risks for Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and International Trade

Political Risks, Economic Risks, Strategic Risks

https://www.rozen-bakher.com/
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